Rex-block pattern results in warm-core cyclone / #medicane in SW Mediterranean and huge amounts of rain/snow across eastern Spain this week – flooding threat expected
While a large part of Europe is expecting an extremely high-pressure system with pressure readings 1045-1050 mbar until Thursday, there is a very interesting but dangerous feature developing –...
The eastern Mediterranean sea remains very warm while the western parts are much colder than normal for late November
Warm sea surface temperatures are usually the main source / fuel for the storm systems which could potentially bring excessive rainfall events, intense cyclones or even medicanes. As of...
An impressive medicane #DETLEF in the western Mediterranean, making landfall in northern Algeria, Nov 11th
As expected in our mesoscale discussions a shallow warm-core cyclone / #medicane has formed in the western Mediterranean today, Nov 11th. The development of the medicane was probably possible...
Increasing potential for the development of two warm-core systems (medicane) in the Mediterranean early next week
The progressive pattern across Europe will also bring a deep trough towards the SSW Europe early next week, with a deep long-wave trough pushing a deep core into the...
Rising potential for shallow warm core development in the far eastern Mediterranean, Oct 24-25th
An upper low is located over the E Mediterranean and the Middle East with a gradually deepening surface low over the sea south of Cyprus. Fairly active convective storms...
Medicane – Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones: what are they?
Medicane. Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones. Websites, social media are full of these headlines – but are these systems something new? Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones are interesting severe weather events, but nothing...
Warm core low may produce an intense windstorm on Sardinia – October 29, 2018
Model guidance is converging on the formation of an intense low over the western Mediterranean tomorrow, rapidly moving into Sardinia. It will quickly deepen to possibly below 985 mbar,...
Outlook day 1 (valid: 12/10/2018)
VALID FOR 12-10-2018 SYNOPSIS An extensive ridge dominates eastern and northern Europe while a deep long-wave trough is located over the north Atlantic ocean. An intense vorticity maximum /...