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*UPDATE* on the record-breaking late October ‘heatwave’ across east-central Europe this week

October 21, 2019 by Marko Korosec

Models are confirming an extremely warm airmass spreading and maintaining across a large part of east-central Europe and the Balkan peninsula this week, both low- … Read more

Categories Mesoscale Discussion Archives Tags autumn, europe, heat wave, indian summer, October, ridge, upper low, warmth

Unusually strong positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event develops, powers severe droughts in Australia, and supports warmer October in Europe.

October 19, 2019 by Andrej Flis

There are many global factors and influences that drive our climate and the weather that we feel. A lot of these “drivers” come from the … Read more

Categories Latest news Tags anomaly, Australia, europe, IOD, ocean

Very warm weather intensifies across east-central Europe, locally close to 30 °C is possible, Oct 21-26th

October 19, 2019 by Marko Korosec

The current unusually warm pattern for mid-October is far from finished. The blocking ridge over east-central Europe should intensify and bring another week of extremely … Read more

Categories Mesoscale Discussion Archives Tags autumn, europe, heat wave, October, ridge, upper low, warmth

The weekly pattern across Europe – unusually warm weather continues through the mid-October, Oct 14th-21st

October 14, 2019 by Marko Korosec

Mid October brings stable and unusually warm weather into much of our continent, while a statistically dynamic pattern maintains over the N Atlantic. Models are … Read more

Categories Mesoscale Discussion Archives Tags atlantic, cyclone, europe, trough, upper low, warm advection

*Winter 2019/2020* Early look at the seasonal forecasts for the upcoming winter across the Northern Hemisphere!

November 19, 2019October 10, 2019 by Andrej Flis

Autumn is upon us, which means that the winter forecasting season has begun. September seasonal forecasts are what we often call “an early look”, since … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags 2019/2020, europe, long-range, outlook, winter

A major pattern flip brings much warmer weather across continental Europe this weekend and next week

October 8, 2019 by Marko Korosec

After a quite cold period across the eastern half of Europe this week, a major pattern flip is shaping up this weekend. While dynamic pattern … Read more

Categories Mesoscale Discussion Archives Tags Balkans, europe, pattern flip, ridge, wamrth

*Winter 2019/2020* Early look at the seasonal forecasts for the upcoming winter across the Northern Hemisphere!

October 30, 2019October 3, 2019 by Andrej Flis

Autumn is upon us, which means that the winter forecasting season has begun. September seasonal forecasts are what we often call “an early look”, since … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags 2019/2020, europe, long-range, outlook, winter

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 02/09/2019)

September 2, 2019 by Marko Korosec

Explanations for abbreviations (TSTM, SLGT, ENH, etc.) SYNOPSIS Strong upper ridge persists over the N Atlantic and W Europe while a short-wave crosses central Europe … Read more

Categories Severe Weather Outlook Tags europe, forecast, outlook
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