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long-range

The 2026 Super El Niño is Breaking Records, With Winter 2026/2027 Weather Impacts Ahead

September 28, 2026September 28, 2026 by Andrej Flis
weather-fall-winter-2026-2027-forecast-united-states-canada-jet-stream-pressure-system-anomaly-temperature-snowfall-record-super-el-nino-event-confirmed-unfolding-september-october-data

The 2026 Super El Niño continues its historic rapid intensification across the equatorial Pacific ahead of Winter 2026/2027. New oceanic and atmospheric data confirm another … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags el nino, ENSO, forecast, long-range, united states, weather, winter

A New Polar Vortex Is Emerging Over the North Pole, With a Winter 2026/2027 Disruption Risk

September 16, 2026 by Andrej Flis
polar-vortex-emerging-north-hemisphere-winter-2026-2027-weather-forecast-pattern-snowfall-cold-warm-united-states-canada-stratospheric-warming-collapse-event-trend-seasonal-range

A new Polar Vortex is now forming over the North Pole, with rapid stratospheric cooling and a pressure drop already visible in the latest data. … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags europe, forecast, long-range, Polar Vortex, stratospheric warming, united states, weather, winter

Autumn 2024 Weather Forecast: What does the return of cold La Niña mean for the next Weather season?

August 19, 2024July 23, 2024 by Andrej Flis
autumn-2024-weather-season-forecast-united-states-europe-enso-cold-atmosphere-polar-vortex-anomaly

Meteorological Autumn starts in September, but we are already tracking the large-scale factors at work that will impact the coming weather seasons. Looking ahead, we … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags autumn, europe, forecast, long-range, united states, winter

An Atmospheric shift is set for Summer 2024, as a new La Niña awakens in the Pacific Ocean and will last into next year

May 21, 2024 by Andrej Flis
summer-2024-final-weather-forecast-long-range-data-temperature-precipitation-pressure-ecmwf-united-states-europe-canada-atmospheric-impact

The final Summer 2024 forecast shows a strong atmospheric pattern, indicating a disturbance from the emerging cold La Niña phase in the Pacific Ocean. This … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags forecast, La Nina, long-range, summer, united states, weather

Winter 2023/2024 Snowfall Predictions: The Jet Stream shift from the El Nino anomaly is Forecast to have an impact on snowfall patterns next season

September 3, 2023 by Andrej Flis
winter-2023-2024-snowfall-prediction-forecast-united-states-canada-europe-seasonal-anomaly-ecmwf-ukmo-long-range

Winter 2023/2024 snowfall predictions are in, and they reveal a strong signal from the El Nino influence on the weather patterns. We will look at … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags ENSO, europe, forecast, long-range, snow, snowfall, united states, weather, winter

How accurate are Winter Forecasts really? How do they work, and why are they more accurate around North America than the rest of the World?

October 30, 2022 by Andrej Flis
winter-season-weather-forecast-verification-temperature-snowfall-snow-depth-pressure-united-states-europe-canada

We see tons of Winter forecasts each year. But how accurate are they really? The model accuracy is never consistent year to year but depends … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags ECMWF, ENSO, forecast, long-range, outlook, snow, united states, weather, winter

*Summer 2022 Update* Latest forecast confirms a searing season is ahead for the United States and Europe

June 7, 2022May 15, 2022 by Andrej Flis
summer-weather-forecast-temperature-precipitation-pressure-official-noaa-ecmwf-united-states-canada

Summer 2022 is approaching. It will be under the continued influence of the La Nina, which will create a hotter than normal and drier Summer … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags canada, ENSO, europe, forecast, long-range, NOAA, outlook, seasonal, summer, united states, weather

*Winter 2021/2022 Rundown* Unusual cold weather dynamics and strong warm anomalies, forged between by the Ocean and the Atmosphere

March 26, 2022 by Andrej Flis
winter 2021 2022 rundown analysis united states europe weather forecast verification temperature precipitation la nina polar vortex

Winter 2021/2022 is officially over. We will make a rundown of this very dynamic cold season, looking at the many cold and warm anomalies across … Read more

Categories Long range / seasonal forecast Tags cold, ENSO, europe, forecast, long-range, outlook, Polar Vortex, reanalysis, seasonal, snow, united states, weather, winter
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