A rapidly strengthening Tropical Cyclone #Herold continues to churn just off the eastern coast of Madagascar, maintaining its almost stationary position. There is a small eye becoming visible lately. Herold is packing the maximum sustained winds of 70 knots (80 mph / 130 km/h) and a central pressure of around 979 mbar. Its movement is east at less than 5 mph. Herold is expected to accelerate towards southeast tomorrow and should intensify into a Category 3 system. It will become extremely dangerous while passing very near to Rodrigues island later this week!

Satellite imagery reveal an impressive rapidly intensifying tropical cyclone, rotating almost stationary along northeast Madagascar. A burst of deep convective rain bands is visible, organizing while the cyclone is deepening. A small eye is appearing!

Graphics by: Windy.com

Graphics by: Windy.com



Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) analysis estimates these bursts of intense convection nicely. There is 50-knot winds radii extending 35-40 miles around the center of Herold now.

Tropical Cyclone Herold will likely maintain its current position tonight, then begin accelerating towards southeast on Monday. It will track further north and east of Mauritius and is likely to pass very near the Rodrigues island with intense strength. Destructive winds and flooding are possible! Lots of rain is expected near the center of Herold as well as hurricane-force winds!

Graphics by: Windy.com

Graphics by: Windy.com


See the previous discussion and stay tuned for further updates!

Tropical Cyclone #HEROLD forms near Madagascar, its explosive convection suggests the system will soon begin rapid intensification and head towards Mauritius and Rodrigues islands


A tropical depression #91S is organizing along northeast Madagascar, the potential is increasing it could become a *violent* Tropical Cyclone while traveling across Southwest Indian Ocean


*tropical* Invest #91S finally ejects northern Madagascar and heads southeast – it could hit #Mauritius with extreme rainfall and flooding later this week