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Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 15/05/2019)

Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ

SYNOPSIS

A large deep upper low is centered over the N Mediterranean, while the upper ridge over W Europe expands into N Europe and Arctic region. Upper ridge also intensifies over Turkey and Black sea.

DISCUSSION



SLGT risk has been issued for S and E Balkan peninsula into W Ukraine and S Belarus with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential / excessive rainfall and marginally large hail.

SLGT risk has been issued for W Russia with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large hail.

MRGL risks have been issued for Tyrrhenian sea into S Italy and NW Turkey with isolated threat for severe storms, capable of producing strong to severe winds, marginal hail and torrential rainfall.

TSTM risk areas have been placed where convective storms are likely to occur but should remain sub-severe.