VALID FOR 20-05-2014
A MDT risk has been issued for NE Iberia into S-CNTRL France with threat for tornadoes, large hail, severe winds and torrential rain. Widespread severe storms seem likely to occur across northern Iberia and much of France given the strong shear overlaping with moderate instability ahead of the slow moving / almost stationary frontal boundary.
A SLGT risk has been issued for surrounding areas of MDT risk and for Benelux, UK and NW Iberia with threat for large hail, severe winds and heavy rain.
A broad SLGT+ / SLGT risk has been issued from SW Russia across E Europe into NW Russia along the weakening frontal and almost stationary boundary where another day of isolated severe storms is foreseen. Moderate shear and instability provides conditions for organized storms with lrge hail, severe winds and some tornado threat.
A SLGT risk has been issued for NE Algeria into N Tunisia with threat for large hail, severe winds and torrential rain.