VALID FOR 31-03-2019
SYNOPSIS
An upper ridge remains over the Balkan peninsula, central and western Europe while large upper low remains over the E Mediterranean and Middle East. An upper low over Morocco deepens and moves north towards W Iberia. A deep trough pushes across Scandinavia and Baltic region.
DISCUSSION
MRGL risk has been issued for N Morocco and NW Algeria with threat for isolated severe storms, capable of producing large hail, severe winds and torrential rainfall.
MRGL risk has been issued for E Cyprus into N Middle East with threat for isolated excessive rainfall threat due to slow moving storms.
TSTM risk areas have been placed where convective storms are possible.
Quite a lot of rainfall is also likely across the SE Spain but should remain sub-severe and probably non-convective as well.