While we are waiting for the powerful windstorm incoming for western Europe on Sunday, there is already a very active pattern developing over the North Atlantic. An impressive rapid intensification of a new cyclone is already ongoing int the far North Atlantic – central pressure should drop for more than 30 mbar in 24 hours and push below 930 mbar on early Saturday.
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An overview of the peak wind gusts by ICON-EU model, expanding across the North Atlantic and western Europe through several days:
Friday’s 06 UTC analysis indicate the cyclone had a central pressure of 959 mbar with an expected central pressure to fall into 930 mbar range by Saturday morning (24-hour period). Violent hurricane-force winds are developing around the center as well. Notice also the rapidly intensifying phase of a developing bomb cyclone across the northeast US.
- 959 mbar at 06 UTC, Feb 7th
- 972 mbar at 00 UTC, Feb 7th
- 974 mbar at 18 UTC, Feb 6th
- 981 mbar at 12 UTC, Feb 6th
- 988 mbar at 06 UTC, Feb 6th
Satellite imagery is revealing a deep core south of Greenland, only slowly moving north while deepening.
6-hour sequence of the developing cyclone, attached are pressure, winds and IR simulated satellite maps:
Friday, Feb 7th, 12 UTC
Friday, Feb 7th, 18 UTC
Saturday, Feb 8th, 00 UTC
Saturday, Feb 8th, 06 UTC
See also: