SYNOPSIS
A weakening upper low is moving across the Balkan peninsula, while upper ridge over far SE Europe starts weakening. Upper cold core low moves from the North Sea into S Scandinavia. An upper ridge builds up towards Iberia.
DISCUSSION
SLGT risk has been issued for SW Russia with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large hail.
SLGT risk has been issued for E Romania, E Bulgaria into NW Turkey with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large hail.
MRGL risk has been issued for E Poland, W Ukraine and SW Belarus with threat for isolated severe storms, capable of producing excessive rainfall and marginal hail.
MRGL risk has been issued for E-CNTRL Turkey into Georgia with threat for isolated severe storms, capable of producing torrential rainfall, marginally large hail and severe winds.
TSTM risk areas have been placed where convective storms are likely to occur but should remain sub-severe.