A gradually organizing Invest #93P in the South Pacific is delivering some exceptional satellite imagery, locally pushing cloud tops to around -90 °C! That’s extremely high! #93P is on track with its future behavior, expected to pass very near the Fiji archipelago in the coming days while strengthening.


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NEW UPDATE: A Tropical Cyclone #TINO is born – a direct hit to Vanua Levu island as a Category 1 is expected tomorrow – could hit Tonga as a strong Category 2 this weekend!

A Tropical Cyclone #TINO is born – a direct hit to Vanua Levu island as a Category 1 is expected tomorrow – could hit Tonga as a strong Category 2 this weekend!



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Here are some pretty remarkable satellite images in IR and VIS channels – cloud tops are extremely high and penetrating into the heights with temperatures around -90 °C.

The future behavior of #93P depends on the amount of shear and sea surface along its track – those are very good and should allow the system to gradually organize better into a tropical cyclone, potentially even an intense system after the coming weekend. 93P will be passing very near Fiji archipelago on Friday. Attached are the GFS model simulations through the remainder of this week. We can definitely see the system will gain strength while moving into even better conditions south of the Fiji archipelago.

See the previous forecast discussion and stay tuned for additional updates soon:

A new tropical wave – Invest #93P – has developed near Vanuatu and could potentially become a dangerous tropical cyclone heading towards Fiji