VALID FOR 12-10-2013

A large closed upper low centered over southern France will slightly weaken while moving north, convective activity is expected across the broad warm sector over north-central Mediterranean.

A broad SLGT risk area has been issued for north-central Mediterranean with threat for heavy convective rain and strong winds. Two areas will be closely monitored for upgrade into MDT risk on DAY 1 if conditions improve significantly;

1) coastal areas of central Adriatic sea with threat for heavy rain, tornadoes and severe winds.

2) southern Italy with threat for heavy rain, large hail, tornadoes and severe winds.