VALID FOR 11-10-2013
A large closed upper low rotating over west-central Europe, supporting active severe weather day over Mediterranean.
A MDT risk has been issued for southern Albania, western Greece, coastal Montenegro, southern Adriatic sea and Ionian sea with threat for heavy convective rain with flash floods. High instability and moderate strong shear supports tornadoes as well.
A SLGT risk has been issued for southern Italy and Mediterranean sea with threat for heavy rain, strong winds and some tornado threat.
A SLGT+ risk has been issued for northern Adriatic region into western Slovenia and NW Croatia with threat for heavy rain. Area will be monitored for possible upgrade into MDT risk on DAY 1 if conditions improve for more robust rainfall threat.