VALID FOR 23-10-2013
A short-wave trough crossing North Sea while new trough developing over E Atlantic.
A MDT risk has been issued for southern Alpine mountainous terrain with threat for torrential and excessive convective rainfall. Very high accumulations possible.
A low-end MDT risk has been issued for Ligurian coast of N Italy for torrential convective rain. Rain accumulations might not be very high, but some models peak 24-hour accumulations over 100mm which would result in more flooding over already affected areas on Sunday and Monday.
A SLGT risk has been issued for surrounding areas of MDT risk for some heavy rain. Some tornado/wind threat possible along the coastal area of SE France and Liguria as well.
A SLGT risk has been issued for NE France, Benelux, W Germany into Denmark and S Norway with threat for strong to severe winds, some tornado threat and heavy rain.
A SLGT risk has been issued for extreme W Iberia with threat for severe winds, heavy rain and marginally large hail.