VALID FOR 09-11-2013

The upper trough moving into northern Mediterranean with a lee low developing behing the Alps and cold front crossing southern Alpine flank. Another short wave trough with frontal system is pushed into W France.

A MDT risk has been issued for W-CNTRL Slovenia, NW Croatia, NE Italy and parts of N Adriatic sea with threat for torrential and excessive rain, severe winds and some tornado / marginal hail threat. Very high rain accumulations are locally possible due to persisting WAA with strong SW flow from the central Mediterranean which could result in training effect storms.

A SLGT risk has been issued for surrounding areas of MDT risk and extented further west across parts of N-CNTRL Italy with threat for heavy excessive rain and strong to severe winds.

A SLGT risk has been issued for Bay of Biscay, W France into S UK for severe winds and heavy rain.