A possible isolated supercell has formed near Ceyhan, Turkey in the MDT risk area of Day 1 Outlook for 18/10/2013. No radar imagery is available. Models show favourable conditions for supercells with heavy precipitation, strong winds and even a possible isolated tornado.

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Eastern Mediterranean EUMETSAT VIS satellite image 18/10/2013 06:00 UTC. Source: EUMETSAT.

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Lightning data for the area. Source: National observatory of Athens.

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Model skewT chart for Adana, Turkey on 18/10/2013 06:00 UTC. Source: KHARMAN / Meteogreen.com.

Conditions have already been favourable for severe weather in the MDT risk area during the night hours, with a probable supercell thunderstorm developing in the area shortly after local midnight. EUMETSAT IR image for 01:45 UTC shows an isolated thunderstorm with a distinct cold ring visible on the backsheared anvil, indicative of a dominant strong updraft and overshooting top.

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EUMETSAT IR image 18/10/2013 01:45 UTC. Source: EUMETSAT.

Follow the ongoing system on Turkey radar and on satellite pages.

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