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Heat wave over Europe continues: outlook for Thursday, June 22

Another hot day for parts of western, central, southern and southeastern Europe today. The strong ridge persists, centered over France today and extending from the Iberian peninsula across S-CNTRL Europe into the Balkans. A shortwave trough will affect the weather across CNTRL Europe, with thunderstorms bringing some relief (but also severe weather) to the region.

A look by region

West-central Europe (France, BeNeLux, Germany): hot day ahead, with temperatures set to exceed 30 °C across much of the region and approach 40 °C locally. France gets the highest temperatures, S-SW and CNTRL France set for daytime highs of 36-39 °C, locally possibly reaching 40 °C! SW-CNTRL Germany likely to approach 35 °C, while most of the region will rise over 30 °C. Significant thunderstorm activity, including severe thunderstorms is expected today across parts of central Europe. See our Severe weather outlook for today for details.

ARPEGE model guidance for maximum temperatures this afternoon across central Europe. Map:

Northern Italy: will be very hot today, with various models indicating temperatures peaking at 36-38 °C in Piemont and the Po plain.

ARPEGE and WRF model guidance for temperatures across northern Italy today. Map: / Consorzio LaMMA

Pannonian basin and S Balkans: hot day ahead in this region as well. The Pannonian basin goes up to 33-34 °C, in particular over parts of W Hungary, E Croatia and N Serbia. High temperatures also in S Romania and N Bulgaria at up to 32-34 °C as well as parts of N-CNTRL Greece at 35 °C and locally possibly more.

WRF model guidance for temperatures across SE Europe today. Map: Meteoadriatic

Iberian Peninsula: continues very hot, although with somewhat lower peak temperatures than in the previous days. Central and southern Spain up to 35-37 °C, northeastern Spain up to 37-39 °C. Portugal will get a respite from the intense heat, with the northern half of the country not exceeding 28-30 °C, while the southern half may well push up to 34-35 °C.

WRF model guidance temperatures across the Iberian Peninsula today. Map: