Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 05/03/2019)

VALID FOR 05-03-2019 Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A long-wave trough is located across north and central Europe while a deep low / trough nears the Bay of Biscay from the west. At surface level, a deep low with surface cold front is pushed towards the Iberian peninsula. DISCUSSION ENH risk has been issued for extreme west/northwest Portugal and northwest Spain with threat for severe storms capable of producing severe winds, torrential / excessive rainfall and tornadoes. Locally more than 100 mm could accumulate within 24 hours period. Marginal instability, but strong shear and favorable low-level helicity could support tornado threat. SLGT risk has been issued for areas surrounding the ENH risk where more isolated threat for severe storms, mainly … Continue reading Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 05/03/2019)