A very warm week is ahead for parts of Europe this week. Much of the continent will be significantly warmer than is average for this period. The warmest parts will be central, eastern and southeastern Europe.

Temperatures will be up to 8-12 °C higher than average for this period. In absolute terms, this means temperatures up to 30 °C and locally even higher. Southwestern and central France will likely push above 30 °C on Monday, with southern France going possibly up to 33-34 °C in the middle of the week. Germany will be warm as well, northwestern parts may reach 30 °C on Tuesday and Wednesday. Other parts of Germany will push into the upper 20s. Poland too will likely push to close to 30 °C. The Pannonian basin, the Adriatic region and northern Italy will also push to about 30 °C. Further north, Denmark and southern Sweden will push above 20 °C in the middle of the week. See the maps below to find the temperature anomaly for your region.

Temperature anomaly model guidance: the difference between the forecast temperature and the 1981-2010 average.

A major pattern change is in the offing next weekend, with a sharp and very cold front pushing across large parts of Europe. A sharp drop in temperature, locally up to 15 °C is indicated. The event is still a week ahead, model guidance may change – we will monitor the pattern and provide updates.

Temperature anomaly model guidance: the difference between the forecast temperature and the 1981-2010 average.

All maps: GFS model guidance, Wxcharts.eu