UPDATE on the heat wave across parts of Spain and Portugal in the next 4-6 days
The Iberian peninsula is in for a 5-day period of hot weather. Temperatures in much of Portugal and parts of southern and southwestern Spain will push above 30 °C, locally close to 35 °C. This is 10-14 °C warmer than average for this time!
500 mbar geopotential height anomaly on Monday (May 13th). Note the extensive upper ridge across western Europe into NW Africa! GFS model guidance. Map: Wxcharts.
A very favourable pattern for hot weather sets up across western Europe this weekend and during the first half of next week. Hot weather expected across parts of Spain and Portugal, while even hotter weather is expected in Morocco. Also above average warm weather in the UK and Ireland.
850 mbar and 2 m temperature anomaly across Europe on Monday (May 13th). Note the exceptionally warm airmass SW of the Iberian peninsula, stretching across much of Portugal and NW Spain. GFS model guidance. Map: Wxcharts.
Daytime highs in Portugal and Spain will locally reach above 30 °C every day until at least Thursday. Expect cooler and more unsettled weather after that.
Daytime highs across the Iberian peninsula from Saturday to Thursday (May 11-16th). GFS model guidance. Map: Wxcharts.