Severe weather outbreak across parts of the Czechia and Poland expected today, July 1, 2019

An outbreak of severe storms seems likely across SE Germany, Czechia, N Austria, N Slovakia and S Poland this afternoon and evening hours as cold front moves through. Extreme instability with good overlap of moderate to strong shear should support both discrete supercells and bowing segments with very large hail and destructive wind threat. Strong to extreme instability will be present ahead of the front, supportive of the explosive development of storms by mid-afternoon hours. Locally more than 2500 J/kg of MLCAPE will be present and therefore very large hail will be possible with most organized supercell storms. ARW model is quite aggressive will a large area of 3000-4000 J/kg of MLCAPE across SE Germany and Czechia. Surface winds will … Continue reading Severe weather outbreak across parts of the Czechia and Poland expected today, July 1, 2019